Bridge power now, owned power later, a PPA start date years earlier at roughly half the cost.
A phased power-sourcing strategy modeled month by month for a project that needed power years before its primary asset.
Client challenge
The project needed to provide power years before its primary asset would be online, and had to choose among gas turbines, fuel cells, batteries and diesel gensets, each with a different cost, lead-time and permitting trade-off.
What we did
Modeled a two-phase strategy: lease interim capacity now, then flip to owned equipment at commercial operation. Month-by-month economics down to the vendor and generator model, with the transition treated as the decision that carries the value rather than an afterthought.
Shape of the outcome
The flip roughly halves the cost of power, but the saving erodes with delay: every month of slip converts an owned month back into an interim month. That turned the transition date into the primary number worth managing and identified the additional price worth spending for every month saved. Built month by month, so they could re-run it as launch dates approached.
Every interim option, mapped on cost, lead time and permitting.
The market map underneath the sequencing decision.
Client challenge
The shortlist had to be better than what any competitor was achieving so every option had to be evaluated to find a unique opportunity. Seven technology classes were evaluated, with multiple unique advantages identified, such as permitting avoidance, short term availability, operational cost, and more.
What we did
Placed every available option on cost against supply backlog, color-coded by permitting difficulty, identified the best in class technology for each advantage type, then converted each advantage into a net present value and sequenced the options to minimize cost.
What the map says
There is no free lunch. The cheapest option sits deepest in the backlog, the fastest to deploy costs the most to run, and permitting tracks siting. That collapsed seven technology classes to a defensible shortlist. Delivered as a map with the rejected options and reasons kept in, so the choice survives being questioned.
Client anonymized. Outcomes shown as direction and ratio, not absolute figures.