We found a way to raise $1.5B less, build the same project, and deliver stronger returns.
Financial and macroeconomic case behind a multi-billion government funding bid for a first to Nth-of-a-kind program.
Client challenge
The developer was bidding into a national funding program and had to prove three things at once: that the program was sized correctly, that the debt could be serviced out of project cash flow, and that the public got a return beyond the electricity itself.
What we did
Built one model that solved for multiple parts of the investment return, then tested debt service coverage across the build, investor return at each scale, and a macroeconomic layer converting direct and indirect job creation into national GDP contribution.
Shape of the outcome
An optimum scale exists, and it is not the largest one on the table. Past the optimum, execution risk grows faster than return. The jobs and GDP case did not need to carry the proposal once financial returns were aligned with requested funding level.
Client anonymized. Outcomes shown as direction and ratio, not absolute figures.